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    BREAKING: Bundy Ranch

    Unfudged Economic Numbers

    Reliable Economic Statistics

    The U.S. government has long been in the game of fudging primary inflation, unemployment and GDP statistics. This allows them to perpetually argue that "green shoots" are springing up when the economic situation is not so bright. This occurs even now as the improved economic figures being posted by the Trump administration follow the disastrous Obama economic doldrums. Our economic potential will remain subpar given

    • our structural deficit problems
    • coupled with the Federal Reserve printing money to cover the shortfall
    • adverse demographic trends
    • Eurosocialist policies embedded in our technocrat bureaucratic government

    To get around this obfuscation, I have made this a permanent page of non-jiggered economic statistics. These graphs are honest proxies for where the nation's economy is headed, but without manipulation by politicians. If you are tired of hearing Orwellian double speak from the Financial Ministry of Disinformation, bookmark this page.

    We start with the percentage of Government Outlays to GDP. Other than war time, we are near historic highs.The first chart plots since 1791, the second is always current since 1947. The government has no speed governor, it is a freight train headed off a collapsed bridge at full throttle.

    Next, the Labor Participation rate, the cold hard number of how many people are working as a percentage of the population. Until this number inflects in a positive direction, there is no way the employment situation is improving no matter what you hear. Overall employment has remained pretty grim, despite the improvements in the Trump administration. This does not reflect on Trump's efforts, but on underlying structural problems. This shows the complete collapse of Keynesian economic theory - continuous pump priming should mean we are swimming in jobs.

    The better gauge of unemployment than what is the traditionally reported U3 number is the U6 number (Total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers plus total employed part time for economic reasons). It has improved significantly from the crash of 2008, but is meaningless without taking into account the participation rate.

    Another scary chart is the labor participation rate of men. They obviously have been dropping out of the labor force for quite a while. They are "Going Galt" [see my book on this website Going Galt: Surviving Economic Armageddon]. Obviously men have clued in that either

    1. it is easier to take welfare, or
    2. the economic game is stacked against them.
    I'm still researching that answer.

    According to Obama, the GDP was growing smartly. Apparently it is doing so using a new form of perpetual motion free energy, since our gasoline consumption was in a nosedive (not explained by increased fuel efficiency). This portends another recession, not a recovery.

    The Baltic Dry Index is a well knows proxy for economic activity, being the price of container shipping and therefore an indicator of economic activity both globally and in the US which depends on trade.

    Since Federal Expenditures are counted as part of the GDP, it is clear that much of the green shoots we are supposedly seeing are due not to improved private sector production, but to a ramp up of government debt - bread and circuses.

    The reason food and gas skyrocketed under Obama (rather than being evil speculators) was that Helicopter Ben Bernanke was printing Monopoly Money fit to bust the presses. When anyone asks you if we are at risk of inflation, show them the following two charts.

    The real kick in the nuts though is the velocity of money (the number of times a dollar has turned over during a year), has taken a dive. It means people are afraid to make economic transactions. This is a deflationary force, though paradoxically it doesn't stop inflation but results in a Biflationary economy which is in collapse. Keynes is truly dead.

    Finally we add the Real Disposable Income, which after a brief recovery from the shocks of 2008 have now flatlined. Maybe it feels like we are in a claustrophobic Depression, because we are. The little guy really can't get ahead.

    This is a permanent page and I will be adding new statistics over time, so you should bookmark it. Anyone who is attempting to manage their investment portfolio to avoid penury as the elfare state collapses needs to know these numbers because they aren't fudged. Also read my book on how to protect your assets during a Biflationary Depression (see following). I'm the only one who is explaining the Biflationary nature of Obama and Bernanke's money printing. My Biflation Index is of special interest.
    Thanks, Daxton Brown

    Biflationary Depression:

    Protecting Assets From Inflation & Deflation In A Keynesian Collapse

    by Daxton Brown
    $12.95 from Amazon.com (Order)
    This groundbreaking book covers the concept of simultaneous inflation and deflation: Biflation, and how to protect your assets as the collapse of the welfare state pushes us into a long term depression. Also presented is a theory of money based on physics rather than conservative socioeconomics that gives the reader new insight into how to interpret economic trends outside the status quo of Keynesian theory. This is must-read practical economics you won't find from mainstream publishers.

    Your government and the banking system are trying to steal your livelihood from you and your family. Where the obvious theft comes in is that instead of sending you an honest bill for services (taxes), they inflate the value of what you need to purchase. Most everyone is familiar with this concept of inflation theft - every time you go to the gas pump or grocery store it costs more as you are pushed into higher tax brackets. But even worse, the government engages in biflation, simultaneous inflation and deflation, inflating the costs of goods while deflating your assets. They get you coming and going. This concept that the government and the Federal Reserve can create inflationary AND deflationary policies which simultaneously steal from your livelihood is the important concept to take away from this book. Unless you understand how this is possible, you wonít understand how to protect your assets in the Biflationary Depression we now find ourselves in. Traditionally, people have only thought in terms of protecting themselves from inflation, while savers actually rejoiced at deflation which would increase the value of their dollars. But clearly something different is occurring, which can be shown by two quick observations:

  • The price of things you need or could use like food, gasoline and commodities including precious metals are all inflating.
  • The price of assets and income sources like homes, savings rates and wages that you depend on to make a living are deflating.

    In other words, the common man is screwed coming AND going. We can expand the list of economic items inflating or deflating and their negative effects, but readers can no doubt provide many of their own examples. That we are clearly in a biflationary period will be a Eureka moment for many, but after that shock wears off, the question quickly turns to what you can do about it. Fortunately, while the government, the Federal Reserve and the banks like to portray themselves as invincible and in total control of your destiny, you do have the power to at least mitigate the negative effects of their policies. But clearly you will need to adapt your investment and personal living strategies to cover simultaneous inflation and deflation, which is not the same strategy as traditional inflationary hedging alone.

    The purpose of this book, Biflationary Depression: Protecting Assets From Inflation & Deflation In A Keynesian Collapse is to:
    1. Show how your wealth is systematically stolen by BOTH inflation and deflation Ė Biflation.
    2. Define what money is so you can understand the theft process.
    3. Show you how your government and bankers must appropriate your wealth through monetary manipulation to stay solvent
    4. Give you the financial tools for avoiding that theft.

    Despite the seemingly tame headline inflation numbers, consumers never seem to see price declines in certain categories like gas, food, education and health.   They also see continuous erosion in the value of their homes, wages and 401ks. So, it is pretty obvious what we have here--Biflation--instead of inflation or deflation alone. Biflation is a state of the economy where inflation and deflation occur simultaneously.

    The price increase of commodities is caused by the increased money flow (via loose monetary policy) chasing them. On the other hand, the growth of economy is tempered with high unemployment and decreasing purchasing power. This has resulted in a greater amount of money directed toward essential items (inflation) and away from non-essential items and things required credit to buy such as house and cars (deflation).

    One of the most important results that biflationary theory allows us to do is create a Biflationary Index, akin to the Misery Index of the 1970s but much more powerful. The Index presented in Biflationary Depression clearly shows our problems started in 2005, not 2008, and that they have not bottomed out. You feel like you are in a depression because you are, no matter what the Ministry of Disinformation says. Things haven't been this bad since the malaise days of Jimmy Carter.


    Biflation Stagflation Inflation Deflation Stagflation

    In economics, stagflation is a situation in which the inflation rate is high and the economic growth rate is low. It raises a dilemma for economic policy since actions designed to lower inflation may worsen economic growth and vice versa. The term stagflation is generally attributed to British politician Iain Macleod, who coined the phrase in his speech to Parliament in 1965.  In neo-Keynesian postwar macroeconomic theory, inflation and recession were regarded as mutually exclusive. 

    Stagflation has proven very costly to eradicate once it starts, both in human terms as well as budget deficits.  The most notable example is when Paul Volker, with Ronald Reagan’s bless, allowed interest rates to climb above 15% to successfully reduce inflationary pressures in the early 1980s.

    In fact, Reagan had come to power in part because of the political impact of one measure of stagflation termed the Misery Index.  Derived by the simple addition of the inflation rate to the unemployment rate, the Misery Index reached 21% under President Carter and was used to swing presidential elections in the United States in 1980.  The current 2011 value of the Misery Index using pre-1980 formulas to calculate unemployment and inflation, has reached 25%.

    Adherents to the Austrian School maintain that creation of new money ex nihilo (out of nothing) benefits the creators and early recipients of the new money relative to late recipients. Money creation is not wealth creation; it merely allows early money recipients to outbid late recipients for resources, goods, and services. Since the actual producers of wealth are typically late recipients, increasing the money supply weakens wealth formation and undermines the rate of economic growth.

    An increase in the money supply rate of growth coupled with a slowdown in the rate of growth of goods increases the rate of price inflation by definition. What we have currently is a fast increase in price inflation (especially fuel and food) and a decline in the rate of growth in the production of goods leading to unemployment. But this is exactly what stagflation is all about, i.e., an increase in price inflation and a fall in real economic growth.

    Stagflation is the normal outcome of loose monetary policy. Stagflation is the natural result of monetary pumping which weakens the pace of economic growth and at the same time raises the rate of increase of the prices of goods and services. For loose money policy to work, people would need to be fooled into thinking the increase in money was the same as prosperity, but that game soon wears thin.  Where the stagflation model breaks down is that loose money has also led us to experience massive deflation from credit collapse, most notably in housing (inflation + deflation).  This leads to a refinement in terms called biflation.


    Biflation (sometimes mixflation or even screwflation) is when the economy experiences both inflation and deflation simultaneously.   The term differs from stagflation in which there is low growth with inflation, and thus is outside traditional economic analysis.  The concept of Biflation was first introduced by Dr. F. Osborne Brown, a Senior Financial Analyst for the Phoenix Investment Group.

    During Biflation, there's a rise in the price of commodity/earnings-based assets (inflation) and a simultaneous fall in the price of debt-based assets (deflation).  Insidiously, this is what the Federal Reserve is shooting for with its loose money policies because it:

    1)  Bails out banking interests and Wall Street by inflating asset prices.  It also bails out the Federal government by proving free money beyond tax revenues.

    2)  Screws Main Street and individuals by devaluing the currency, devaluing their wages, devaluing personal assets like homes awhile conversely inflating the cost of food and energy essentials.

    The inflationary aspect of biflation comes when an over-abundance of money is injected into the economy by the central bank. Since essential commodity-based assets (food, energy, clothing) remain in high demand because they are the basis for survival, their price rises with the increased volume of money chasing them. The increasing cost of purchasing essential assets is the price-inflationary arm of Biflation.

    The deflationary aspect of biflation comes because the economy is tempered by increasing unemployment, decreasing purchasing power and the decreased velocity of money. Bluntly, no one trusts anyone else in business transactions because of bankruptcies and institutional fraud normalized by the government. As a result, money is directed toward buying essential items and directed away from buying non-essential items. Debt-based assets (homes, high-end automobiles and other typically debt based assets) become less essential and increasingly fall into lower demand. As a result, the prices for them fall due to the decreased volume of money chasing them. The decreasing costs to purchase these non-essential assets is the price-deflationary arm of biflation.

    Biflation Leads To Civil Unrest

    If you were a statist government and you wanted to crush a rebellion of the lower classes, certainly you would employ Biflation as a weapon of war.  It allows you to support the bureaucracy and the bankers and corporatist hangers on who milk government contracts, while simultaneously economically crushing those civilians leading the rebellion.  As such it is a modern siege tactic, somewhat akin to poisoning wells and food supplies as performed by our ancestors.

    Since geographic boundaries have been supplanted by ideological and political boundaries of the state in this age of the Internet and Social networking, Biflation acts as a much more effective economic weapon than burning food supplies and polluting the drinking water; it is sort of the neutron bomb of destructive economic policy.

    Don’t expect this biflationary period to blow over anytime soon.  U.S. debt levels are so astronomical that the Federal Reserve cannot increase interest rates without collapsing our system because of the increased interest payment that would be needed to service this debt.  Loose money guarantees inflation, but it also induces debilitating deflation as businesses realize the game is fixed and transactions grind to a halt. Loose monetary policy is the only option left, but it guarantees a slowing economy as money velocity falls.

    Consequently, you couldn’t pick a better weapon of war than biflation to demoralize a population and crush its economic base; it is better than even bombing the industrial structure of a country.  If the Federal Reserve and President don’t know this, they are idiots.  If they do know they obviously are at war with the people they are supposed to protect.

    Other books by Daxton Brown

    Surviving Civil War II

    Preparing For Economic, Social & Political Collapse

    Now Available Through Amazon.com
    Authored by Daxton Brown

    It is clear that we are in the early stages of a Civil War brought on by the economic collapse of the entitlement state. "Surviving Civil War II " isn't a call to revolt, but a manual on how to survive the civil war you already sense is in progress. This book provides the reader with the historical, economic, political and social background necessary to cope with this modern civil war, which will look nothing like our first Civil War.

    The first great American Civil War was about ending slavery. Civil War II is about the same thing, except the slave owners in this case are the bureaucrat and entitlement classes who have yoked productive citizens and future generations to a grindstone of $100 trillion of unfunded social liabilities, environmental Gaia worship and bureaucratic strangulation.

    This time things are different. We cannot get out of this financial and regulatory black hole unless one of two things happens:

  • A) The productive class resigns itself to being tethered to a permanent millstone of egregious taxation in support of the consumption class of bureaucrats and entitled, or
  • B) There is a Civil War and revolt of the productive class, essentially an economic default on the obligation to support the non-productive classes, which realigns the entire system.

    There is no need to spend time arguing about which option will be taken. That which cannot be, cannot be. There is no way to overcome the size of future entitlements except through default by the productive classes on the state's overextended promises. Since option A, the status quo which leaves the current governmental order in place is untenable; we are left with option B, revolt as the path of necessity.

    But this book is not advocating a war of freedom, an insurrection, uprisings or anything disruptive of any kind as solutions to our current dilemmas. Instead, the forces of disruption are already upon us and at work, so the nature of this book is entirely defensive and reactive, not proactive. This isn't a call to break into someone else's home, steal their property, rape their women and kill the owner (as anarchists might suggest) in the pursuit of some abstract revolutionary freedom. Instead, this is a call to bolt your door, hide your valuables and defend yourself from others who are now trying to get in to your home to rape, pillage and enslave you. Apparently that is a revolutionary concept to many.

    In other words, you canít change the devolutionary course that we are on, except at the margins; the Leviathan of state is auguring in of its own colossal weight. If you are smart though, and hunker down tightly enough, you might just get through this mess with some health and a little wealth intact and be prepared for the rainbow at the end of the storm.

    Proceeds from this and other work helps support my ongoing investigation of payoffs to Harry Reid (Harry: Money Mob and Influence)
    For a more 'Prepper' oriented book, see Going Galt: Surviving Economic Armageddon

  • Part I Civil War II
  • Civil War Inevitable
  • Civil War Defined
  • Civil War In Progress
  • Philosophical Roots Of War
  • Belligerents
  • Modern Debt Slavery
  • Roman Slave Revolts
  • Part II Political Landscape
  • Constitution In Conflict
  • Executive Orders
  • Federal Bureaucracy
  • Healthcare Revolt
  • Union Brownshirts
  • Part III Demography of War
  • Demographic Trends
  • Generational Warfare
  • Gender Wars
  • Racial Divide
  • Political Geography
  • Part IV New Civil Warfare
  • Weapons of War
  • Neutering the Military
  • Calling Out The Troops
  • Border War
  • Police State
  • The Religion Of Peace
  • Part V Economic Warfare
  • Economic Collapse
  • Keynesian Epic Fail
  • Stagflation Biflation Inflation Deflation
  • The Fed & Monetary Collapse
  • The Rise of Crypto Cash
  • Tax Reform
  • Spending
  • Medicaid, Medicare & Obamacare
  • Economic Propaganda
  • Outsourcing Our Future
  • Cyclical Financial Implosion
  • Financial Repression
  • Confiscation of Wealth
  • Tax The Rich
  • Failure of Starve the Beast
  • Coping With Economic Collapse
  • Part VI Social Upheaval
  • Social Collapse
  • Religious Oppression
  • Abortion
  • Gay Rights
  • Radical Education
  • Part VII Environmental War
  • Green Energy Dystopia
  • Global Warming
  • Energy Policy
  • Global Food Crisis
  • Part VIII Fighting Back
  • Political Tsunami
  • Resistance
  • Philosophy Of War
  • Cyber Battlefield
  • Self Defense
  • Black and Gray Markets
  • Going Galt
  • Guerilla Warfare
  • Timeline

    Now Available Through Amazon.com

  • Publication Date:
    August 1, 2011
    1450584322 / 9781450584326
    Page Count:234 Binding Type: US Trade Paper
    Trim Size: 8" x 10"
    Language: English
    Color: Black and White
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